Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 128.127337 146.103633 166.042012 189.856094 217.602743 249.002377 287.356337
2025-12-07 99.176931 121.588665 148.567301 183.654176 228.397412 283.967821 358.866229
2025-12-14 83.638808 107.877854 138.793481 181.538790 239.768279 317.275242 429.853479
2025-12-21 74.392317 99.975063 134.178553 183.920860 255.528971 356.611786 513.215648
2025-12-28 69.030917 96.168785 133.988895 191.523477 278.574797 408.223635 621.440484
2026-01-04 63.706277 91.557231 131.797304 195.481840 296.187072 453.558919 726.802323
2026-01-11 57.913755 85.495235 126.610161 193.964180 304.695271 485.296867 814.576913
2026-01-18 54.450225 82.480920 125.543590 198.496225 323.093074 535.097165 941.006808
2026-01-25 50.409242 78.110615 121.814702 198.097691 332.913083 571.256443 1048.463027
2026-02-01 47.377294 75.019560 119.756753 200.125509 346.960883 616.480230 1180.535321
2026-02-08 43.639987 70.410431 114.707705 196.317211 349.847123 641.195533 1275.609072
2026-02-15 41.271539 67.867960 112.880682 197.974337 362.955800 687.036614 1422.650270
2026-02-22 38.792944 65.185539 111.015832 200.255756 379.403751 745.752135 1618.946845
2026-03-01 35.168134 60.199150 104.636076 193.406076 377.098368 766.248124 1734.915956
2026-03-08 32.601119 56.854602 100.882119 191.149906 383.822544 807.123411 1909.449838
2026-03-15 30.922556 54.965905 99.623190 193.674396 401.002672 874.221569 2166.932997
2026-03-22 30.050942 54.491921 100.990964 201.735423 431.561080 978.027299 2550.282434
2026-03-29 28.809506 53.185857 100.577909 205.933453 453.930200 1066.268754 2915.362158
2026-04-05 27.078003 50.763831 97.679751 204.323825 462.295052 1120.682780 3195.895452
2026-04-12 26.119034 49.793413 97.651724 209.130791 487.053742 1222.982058 3657.228085
2026-04-19 24.757020 47.885391 95.472833 208.708048 498.571495 1291.503134 4029.652158
2026-04-26 23.725734 46.573399 94.439637 210.859119 517.127104 1383.791075 4515.061829
2026-05-03 22.273146 44.258846 91.013297 206.819488 518.518009 1426.070938 4833.676623